PublicaÇÕes

2009

Malhi, Y.; Aragão, L. E. O. C.; Galbraith, D.; Huntingford, C.; Fisher, R.; Zelazowski, P.; Sitch, S.; McSweeney, C.; Meir, P. Exploring the likelihood and mechanism of a climate-change-induced dieback of the Amazon rainforest. 2009. http://www.pnas.org/cgi/doi/10.1073/pnas.0804619106

Mendes, D. and Marengo, J. A., 2009. Temporal downscaling: a comparison between artificial neural network and autocorrelation techniques over the Amazon Basin in present and future climate change scenarios. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, doi:10.1007/s00704-009-0193-y.

Mendes, D.; Marengo, J. A.; Mesquita, M. d. S., 2009. Meteorological Downscaling Methods with Artificial Neural Network Models. Atmospheric Sciences Section of AGU Newsletter: volume 3, Issue 3 (July 2009), Page 3. Volume 3, Issue

Pesquero, J.F.; Chou, S.C.; Nobre, C.A.; Marengo, J.A., 2009. Climate downscaling over South America for 1961-1970 using the Eta Model. Theoretical and Applied Climatology: Volume 99, Issue 1 (2010), Page 75-93.

Pisnichenko, I.A. and Tarasova,T.A., 2009. Climate version of the ETA regional forecast model.Evaluating the consistency between the ETA model and HadAM3P global model. Theor Appl Climatol, doi: 10.1007/s00704-009-0139-4

2008

Cox, P. M., et al., 2008. Increasing risk of Amazonian drought due to decreasing aerosol pollution. Nature, vol. 453, p. 212-215 (8 May 2008), | doi:10.1038/nature06960.

Garreaud, R. D., Falvey, M., 2008. The coastal winds off western subtropical South América in future climate scenarios. International Journal of Climatology, doi: 10.1002/joc.1716.

• León, C.A.y., mayo 2008. El Cambio Climático no tiene fronteras. Impacto del Cambio Climático en la Comunidad Andina

• Marengo, J. A. Água e Mudanças Climáticas. Estudos Avançados 22 (63), 2008.

Marengo,J. A., et al., 2008. The Drought of Amazonia in 2005. Americam Meteorological Society, vol. 21, p. 495-516, doi: 10.1175/2007JCLI1600.1.

Marengo, J.A.; Nobre, C. A.; Tomasella, J., Cardoso, M. F., Oyama, M. D. 2008 Hydro-climatic and ecological behaviour of the drought of Amazonia in 2005. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences (2008) 363, 1773-1778. doi: 10.1098/rstb.2007.0015. Published online 12 February 2008.

Nuñez, M. N., et al., 2008. Regional climate change experiments over southern South América. II: Climate change scenarios in the late twenty-first century. Climate Dynamics, doi 10.1007/s00382-008-0449-8.

Soares, W. R. and Marengo, J. A. Assessments of moisture fluxes east of the Andes in South América in a global warming scenario. International Journal of Climatology (2008). Published online in Wiley InterScience. http://www.interscience.wiley.com DOI:10.1002/joc.1800.

Valverde, M. C. e Marengo, J. A. Cenário futuro da circulação atmosférica para a climatologia 2011-2040 derivado de uma média multi-model das simulações dos modelos do IPCC AR4. Anais do XV Congresso Brasileiro de Meteorologia, CD-ROM. São Paulo, agosto de 2008.

Zeng, N., et al., 2008. Causes and impacts of the 2005 Amazon drought. Enviromental Research Letters 3 (2008) 014002 (9pp), doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/3/1/014002.

2007

• Baettig, M.B., et al., 2007. A climate change index : Where climate change may be most prominent in the 21st century. Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 34, L01705, doi:10.1029/2006GL028159

• Born, R.H., et al., 2007. Mudanças climáticas e o Brasil. Contribuições e diretrizes para incorporar questões de mudanças de clima em políticas públicas. Fórum Brasileiro de ONGs e Movimentos Sociais para o Meio Ambiente e o Desenvolvimento – FBOMS, www.fboms.org.br

Graham, L.P., et al., 2007. On interpreting hydrological change from regional climate models. Climatic Change (2007) 81:97-122, doi 10.1007/s10584-006-9217-0.

• Marengo, J. A e Valverde, M. C. Caracterização do Clima no século XX e Cenário de Mudanças de Clima para o Brasil no século XXI usando modelos do IPCC-AR4. Revista Multiciência, Campinas, Edição n° 8, Mudanças Climáticas, maio 2007.

Pisnichenko, I.A., Tarasova, T.A., 2007. The consistency evaluation of the climate version of the Eta regional forecast model developed for regional climate downscaling. Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics (physics.ao-ph); arXiv:0709.2110v1 [physics.ao-ph].

• Salazar, L.F., et al., 2007. Climate change consequences on the biome distribution in tropical South America. Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 34, LXXXXX, doi:10.1029/2007GL029695.

• Sampaio, G., et al., 2007. Regional climate change over eastern Amazonia caused by pasture and soybean cropland expansion. Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 34, L17709, doi:10.1029/2007GL030612.

• Saving the world's natural wonders from climate change. How WWF Field Work defends nature and people from Climate Change impacts

Seth, A., et al., 2007. RegCM3 regional climatologies for South America using reanalysis and ECHAM global model driving fields. Climate Dynamics (2007) 28:461-480, doi 10.1007/s00382-006-0191-z.

Solman, S.A., et al., 2007. Regional Climate Change experiments over southern South America. I: present climate. Climate Dynamics doi:10.1007/s00382-007-0304-3.

2006

Alexander, L.V., et al., 2006. Global observed changes in daily climate extremes of temperature and precipitation. Journal of Geophysical Research, vol. 111, D05109, doi: 10.1029/2005JD006290.

Boulanger, J.P. et al., 2006. Projection of future climate change conditions using IPCC simulations, neural networks and Bayesian statistics. Part.1: Temperature mean state and seasonal cycle in South America. Climate Dynamics. doi:10.1007/s00382-006-0134-8.

Caesar, J., et al., 2006. Large-scale changes in observed daily maximum and minimum temperatures: Creation and analysis of a new gridded data set. Journal of Geophysical Research, vol. 111, D05101, doi:10.1029/2005JD006380.

• Da Rocha P.R., et al, 2006, Regcm3 simulations nested in the Hadley Center Model over South America: the present day climate. Proceedings of 8 ICSHMO, Foz do Iguaçu, Brazil, April 24-28. p. 373-378

• Fioravanti, C, 2006: Caminhos da Mudança. Revista Pesquisa Fapesp Nº 130. 26-29.

• Fioravanti, C, 2006: Um Brasil mais quente. Revista Pesquisa Fapesp Nº 130. 30-34.

• Frei, C., et al., 2006. Future change of precipitation extremes in Europe: Intercomparison of scenarios from regional climate models. Journal of Geophysical Research, vol. 111, D06105, doi:10.1029/2005JD005965

• Grimm, A. M. e A. A. Natori, 2006: Climate change and interannual variability of precipitation in South America. Geophysical Research Letters, 33, L19706, doi:10.1029/2006GL026821.

• Nuñez, M.N., et al., 2006. Mean climate and annual cycle in a regional climate change experiment over southern South America. Proceedings of 8 ICSHMO, Foz do Iguaçu, Brazil, April 24-28, 2006, INPE, p. 325-331.

• Tebaldi, C., et al., 2006. Going to the extremes. An intercomparison of model-simulated historical and future changes in extreme events. Climate Change, vol. 79, p. 185-211, doi:10.1007/s10584-006-9051-4.

• Teleginski, F.S.E., et al., 2006, Precipitation and temperature variability over South America from 1860 to 2100. Proceedings of 8 ICSHMO, Foz do Iguaçu, Brazil, April 24-28. p. 1527-1534.

• VALVERDE RAMIREZ, M. C.; MARENGO, J. A. Desempenho dos modelos climáticos do IPCC em simular a precipitação presente e futura sobre o território brasileiro. In: CONGRESSO BRASILEIRO DE METEOROLOGIA - (CBMET), 14., 2006, Florianópolis. Anais... Florianópolis: SBMET, 2006. 1 CD-ROM.

Vera, C., et al., 2006. Climate change scenarios for seasonal precipitation in South America from IPCC-AR4 models. Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 33, doi:10.1029/2006GL025759.

2005

Aguilar, E., et al., 2005. Changes in precipitation and temperature extremes in Central America and northern South America, 1961-2003. Journal of Geophysical Research, vol. 110, D23107, doi:10.1029/2005JD006119.

Carril, A.F., et al., 2005. Climate response associated with the Southern Annular Mode in the surroundings of Antarctic Peninsula : A multimodel ensemble analysis. Geophysical Research Letters, vol.32, LXXXXX, doi:10.1029/2005GL023581, 2005.

2003

Marengo, J, Soares, W, 2003: Impacto das modificações da mudança climática-Sintese do Terceiro Relatório do IPCC. Condições climáticas e recursos hídricos no Norte do Brasil. Chapter 6 in Clima e Recursos Hídricos 9. Associação Brasileira de Recursos Hídricos/FBMC-ANA. Porto Alegre, Brasil, pp 209-233.

1998

Victoria, R.L., et al., 1998. Notes and correspondence. Surface air temperature variations in the Amazon region and its borders during this century. American Meteorological Society, vol. 11, p. 1105-1110.