PublicaÇÕes
2010
Nobre, C.A.; Young, A. F.; Saldiva, P.; Marengo, J. A.; Nobre, A.D.; Junior, S. A.; Silva, G. C. M. da; Lombardo, M. (Vulnerabilidade das Megacidades Brasileiras às Mudanças Climáticas: Região Metropolitana de São Paulo). Sumário Executivo, junho de 2010.
Alves, L. M. and Marengo, J. A., 2010. Assessment of regional seasonal predictability using the PRECIS regional climate modeling system over South America. Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2010) 100:337–350. DOI 10.1007/s00704-009-0165-2
Justino, F.; Setzer, A.; Bracegirdle, T. J.; Mendes, D.; Grimm, A.; Dechiche, G.; Schaefer, C. E. G. R., 2010. Harmonic analysis of climatological temperature over Antarctica: present day and greenhouse warming perspectives. International Journal of Climatology. Published online in Wiley InterScience (www.interscience.wiley.com) DOI: 10.1002/joc.2090
Marengo, J. A.; Liebmann, B.; Grimm, A.M.; Misra, V.; Silva Dias, P. L.; Cavalcanti, I. F. A.; Carvalho, L. M. V.; Berbery, E. H.; Ambrizzi, T.; Vera, C. S.; Saulo, A. C.; Nogues-Paegle, J.; Zipser, E.; Sethk, A.; Alves, L. M., 2010. Review Recent developments on the South American monsoon system. International Journal of Climatology. Published online in Wiley Online Library (wileyonlinelibrary.com) DOI: 10.1002/joc.2254
Marengo, J. A.; Nobre, C. A.; Salazar, L. F., 2010. Regional Climate Change Scenarios in South America in the Late XXI Century: Projections and Expected Impacts. Nova Acta Leopoldina NF 112, Nr. 384, XXX–XXX (2010).
Marengo, J. A.; Rusticucci, M.; Penalba, O; Renom, M., 2010. An intercomparison of observed and simulated extreme rainfall and temperature events during the last half of the twentieth century: part 2: historical trends. Climatic Change (2010) 98:509–529. DOI 10.1007/s10584-009-9743-7
Pesquero, J. F.; Chou, S. C.; Nobre, C. A.; Marengo, J. A., 2010. Climate downscaling over South America for 1961–1970 using the Eta Model. Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2010) 99:75–93. DOI 10.1007/s00704-009-0123-z
Rusticucci, M.; Marengo, J. A.; Penalba, O; Renom, M., 2010. An intercomparison of model-simulated in extreme rainfall and temperature events during the last half of the twentieth century. Part 1: mean values and variability. Climatic Change (2010) 98:493–508. DOI 10.1007/s10584-009-9742-8
Tomasella, J.; Borma, L. S.; Marengo, J. A.; Rodriguez, D. A.; Cuartas, L. A.; Nobre, C. A.; Prado, M. C. R., 2010. The droughts of 1996-1997 and 2004-2005 in Amazonia: hydrological response in the river main-stem. Hydrological Processes. Published online in Wiley Online Library (wileyonlinelibrary.com) DOI: 10.1002/hyp.7889
Valverde, M. C. and Marengo, J. A., 2010. Mudanças na Circulação Atmosférica sobre a América do Sul para Cenários Futuros de Clima Projetados pelos Modelos Globais do IPCC AR4. Revista Brasileira de Meteorologia, v.25, n.1, 125-145.
2009
Marengo, J. A.; Jones , R.; Alves, L. M.; Valverde, M. C., 2009. Future change of temperature and precipitation extremes in South America as derived from the PRECIS regional climate modeling system. International Journal of Climatology. Published online in Wiley InterScience (www.interscience.wiley.com) DOI: 10.1002/joc.1863
Marengo, J. A.; Ambrizzi, T.; Rocha, R. P.; Alves, L. M.; Cuadra, S.V.; Valverde, M. C.; Torres, R. R.; Santos, D. C.; Ferraz, S. E. T., 2009. Future change of climate in South America in the late twenty-first century: intercomparison of scenarios from three regional climate models. Climate Dynamics. DOI 10.1007/s00382-009-0721-6
Malhi, Y.; Aragão, L. E. O. C.; Galbraith, D.; Huntingford, C.; Fisher, R.; Zelazowski, P.; Sitch, S.; McSweeney, C.; Meir, P. Exploring the likelihood and mechanism of a climate-change-induced dieback of the Amazon rainforest. 2009. http://www.pnas.org/cgi/doi/10.1073/pnas.0804619106
Mendes, D.; Souza, E. P.; Marengo, J. A.; Mendes, M. C. D., 2009. Climatology of extratropical cyclones over the South American–southern oceans sector. Theoretical and Applied Climatology. DOI 10.1007/s00704-009-0161-6
Mendes, D. and Marengo, J. A., 2009. Temporal downscaling: a comparison between artificial neural network and autocorrelation techniques over the Amazon Basin in present and future climate change scenarios. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, doi:10.1007/s00704-009-0193-y.
Mendes, D.; Marengo, J. A.; Mesquita, M. d. S., 2009. Meteorological Downscaling Methods with Artificial Neural Network Models. Atmospheric Sciences Section of AGU Newsletter: volume 3, Issue 3 (July 2009), Page 3. Volume 3, Issue
Pesquero, J.F.; Chou, S.C.; Nobre, C.A.; Marengo, J.A., 2009. Climate downscaling over South America for 1961-1970 using the Eta Model. Theoretical and Applied Climatology: Volume 99, Issue 1 (2010), Page 75-93.
Pisnichenko, I.A. and Tarasova,T.A., 2009. Climate version of the ETA regional forecast model.Evaluating the consistency between the ETA model and HadAM3P global model. Theor Appl Climatol, doi: 10.1007/s00704-009-0139-4
2008
Cox, P. M., et al., 2008. Increasing risk of Amazonian drought due to decreasing aerosol pollution. Nature, vol. 453, p. 212-215 (8 May 2008), | doi:10.1038/nature06960.
Garreaud, R. D., Falvey, M., 2008. The coastal winds off western subtropical South América in future climate scenarios. International Journal of Climatology, doi: 10.1002/joc.1716.
Ghini, R.; Hamada, E.; Júnior, M. J. P.; Marengo, J. A.; Gonçalves, R. R. V., 2008. Risk analysis of climate change on coffee nematodes and leaf miner in Brazil. Pesquisa Agropecuária Brasileira, Brasília, v.43, n.2, p.187-194, fev. 2008
León, C.A.y., mayo 2008. El Cambio Climático no tiene fronteras. Impacto del Cambio Climático en la Comunidad Andina
Marengo, J. A. Água e Mudanças Climáticas. Estudos Avançados 22 (63), 2008.
Marengo,J. A., et al., 2008. The Drought of Amazonia in 2005. Americam Meteorological Society, vol. 21, p. 495-516, doi: 10.1175/2007JCLI1600.1.
Marengo, J.A.; Nobre, C. A.; Tomasella, J., Cardoso, M. F., Oyama, M. D. 2008 Hydro-climatic and ecological behaviour of the drought of Amazonia in 2005. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences (2008) 363, 1773-1778. doi: 10.1098/rstb.2007.0015. Published online 12 February 2008.
Mendes, D.; Souza, E. P.; Mesquita, M. S., 2008. South American Cyclogenesis. Atmospheric Sciences Section of AGU Newsletter: volume 2, Issue 5 (November 2008), page 6.
Nuñez, M. N., et al., 2008. Regional climate change experiments over southern South América. II: Climate change scenarios in the late twenty-first century. Climate Dynamics, doi 10.1007/s00382-008-0449-8.
Soares, W. R. and Marengo, J. A. Assessments of moisture fluxes east of the Andes in South América in a global warming scenario. International Journal of Climatology (2008). Published online in Wiley InterScience. http://www.interscience.wiley.com DOI:10.1002/joc.1800.
Valverde, M. C. e Marengo, J. A. Cenário futuro da circulação atmosférica para a climatologia 2011-2040 derivado de uma média multi-model das simulações dos modelos do IPCC AR4. Anais do XV Congresso Brasileiro de Meteorologia, CD-ROM. São Paulo, agosto de 2008.
Zeng, N., et al., 2008. Causes and impacts of the 2005 Amazon drought. Enviromental Research Letters 3 (2008) 014002 (9pp), doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/3/1/014002.
2007
Baettig, M.B., et al., 2007. A climate change index : Where climate change may be most prominent in the 21st century. Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 34, L01705, doi:10.1029/2006GL028159
Born, R.H., et al., 2007. Mudanças climáticas e o Brasil. Contribuições e diretrizes para incorporar questões de mudanças de clima em políticas públicas. Fórum Brasileiro de ONGs e Movimentos Sociais para o Meio Ambiente e o Desenvolvimento – FBOMS, www.fboms.org.br
Graham, L.P., et al., 2007. On interpreting hydrological change from regional climate models. Climatic Change (2007) 81:97-122, doi 10.1007/s10584-006-9217-0.
Marengo, J. A e Valverde, M. C. Caracterização do Clima no século XX e Cenário de Mudanças de Clima para o Brasil no século XXI usando modelos do IPCC-AR4. Revista Multiciência, Campinas, Edição n° 8, Mudanças Climáticas, maio 2007.
Pisnichenko, I.A., Tarasova, T.A., 2007. The consistency evaluation of the climate version of the Eta regional forecast model developed for regional climate downscaling. Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics (physics.ao-ph); arXiv:0709.2110v1 [physics.ao-ph].
Salazar, L.F., et al., 2007. Climate change consequences on the biome distribution in tropical South America. Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 34, LXXXXX, doi:10.1029/2007GL029695.
Sampaio, G., et al., 2007. Regional climate change over eastern Amazonia caused by pasture and soybean cropland expansion. Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 34, L17709, doi:10.1029/2007GL030612.
Saving the world's natural wonders from climate change. How WWF Field Work defends nature and people from Climate Change impacts
Seth, A., et al., 2007. RegCM3 regional climatologies for South America using reanalysis and ECHAM global model driving fields. Climate Dynamics (2007) 28:461-480, doi 10.1007/s00382-006-0191-z.
Solman, S.A., et al., 2007. Regional Climate Change experiments over southern South America. I: present climate. Climate Dynamics doi:10.1007/s00382-007-0304-3.
2006
Alexander, L.V., et al., 2006. Global observed changes in daily climate extremes of temperature and precipitation. Journal of Geophysical Research, vol. 111, D05109, doi: 10.1029/2005JD006290.
Boulanger, J.P. et al., 2006. Projection of future climate change conditions using IPCC simulations, neural networks and Bayesian statistics. Part.1: Temperature mean state and seasonal cycle in South America. Climate Dynamics. doi:10.1007/s00382-006-0134-8.
Caesar, J., et al., 2006. Large-scale changes in observed daily maximum and minimum temperatures: Creation and analysis of a new gridded data set. Journal of Geophysical Research, vol. 111, D05101, doi:10.1029/2005JD006380.
Da Rocha P.R., et al, 2006, Regcm3 simulations nested in the Hadley Center Model over South America: the present day climate. Proceedings of 8 ICSHMO, Foz do Iguaçu, Brazil, April 24-28. p. 373-378
Fioravanti, C, 2006: Caminhos da Mudança. Revista Pesquisa Fapesp Nº 130. 26-29.
Fioravanti, C, 2006: Um Brasil mais quente. Revista Pesquisa Fapesp Nº 130. 30-34.
Frei, C., et al., 2006. Future change of precipitation extremes in Europe: Intercomparison of scenarios from regional climate models. Journal of Geophysical Research, vol. 111, D06105, doi:10.1029/2005JD005965
Grimm, A. M. e A. A. Natori, 2006: Climate change and interannual variability of precipitation in South America. Geophysical Research Letters, 33, L19706, doi:10.1029/2006GL026821.
Nuñez, M.N., et al., 2006. Mean climate and annual cycle in a regional climate change experiment over southern South America. Proceedings of 8 ICSHMO, Foz do Iguaçu, Brazil, April 24-28, 2006, INPE, p. 325-331.
Tebaldi, C., et al., 2006. Going to the extremes. An intercomparison of model-simulated historical and future changes in extreme events. Climate Change, vol. 79, p. 185-211, doi:10.1007/s10584-006-9051-4.
Teleginski, F.S.E., et al., 2006, Precipitation and temperature variability over South America from 1860 to 2100. Proceedings of 8 ICSHMO, Foz do Iguaçu, Brazil, April 24-28. p. 1527-1534.
VALVERDE RAMIREZ, M. C.; MARENGO, J. A. Desempenho dos modelos climáticos do IPCC em simular a precipitação presente e futura sobre o território brasileiro. In: CONGRESSO BRASILEIRO DE METEOROLOGIA - (CBMET), 14., 2006, Florianópolis. Anais... Florianópolis: SBMET, 2006. 1 CD-ROM.
Vera, C., et al., 2006. Climate change scenarios for seasonal precipitation in South America from IPCC-AR4 models. Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 33, doi:10.1029/2006GL025759.
2005
Aguilar, E., et al., 2005. Changes in precipitation and temperature extremes in Central America and northern South America, 1961-2003. Journal of Geophysical Research, vol. 110, D23107, doi:10.1029/2005JD006119.
Carril, A.F., et al., 2005. Climate response associated with the Southern Annular Mode in the surroundings of Antarctic Peninsula : A multimodel ensemble analysis. Geophysical Research Letters, vol.32, LXXXXX, doi:10.1029/2005GL023581, 2005.
2003
Marengo, J, Soares, W, 2003: Impacto das modificações da mudança climática-Sintese do Terceiro Relatório do IPCC. Condições climáticas e recursos hídricos no Norte do Brasil. Chapter 6 in Clima e Recursos Hídricos 9. Associação Brasileira de Recursos Hídricos/FBMC-ANA. Porto Alegre, Brasil, pp 209-233.
1998
Victoria, R.L., et al., 1998. Notes and correspondence. Surface air temperature variations in the Amazon region and its borders during this century. American Meteorological Society, vol. 11, p. 1105-1110.